2026 season
Game log, first-half results, team totals, and the October 31 Navy lines.
Analysis updated October 27, 2026. Odds were checked October 26; they are not a live feed.
2026 season
Through October 17. Listed spreads and totals vary by sportsbook.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Listed ND line | ATS | Listed total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | Wisconsin · neutral | W 41–13 | −21 | Cover | 45.5 | Over |
| Sep 12 | Rice | W 52–0 | −44.5 | Cover | 54.5 | Under |
| Sep 19 | Michigan State | W 27–10 | −28.5 | No cover | 51.5 | Under |
| Sep 26 | at Purdue | W 49–10 | −27.5 | Cover | 57.5 | Over |
| Oct 3 | at North Carolina | W 37–26 | −21 | No cover | 46.5 | Over |
| Oct 10 | Stanford | W 58–7 | −40.5 | Cover | 55.5 | Over |
| Oct 17 | at BYU | L 24–28 | −10.5 | No cover | 47.5 | Over |
ATS = against the spread. O/U = combined score against the listed total. Sources: Notre Dame schedule ↗ · historical lines ↗.
2026 season
Halftime scores are actual. First-half lines are estimates from full-game closing lines.
| Opponent | Halftime score | Est. ND 1H line | 1H ATS | Est. 1H total | 1H O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 13–10 | −12.5 | No cover | 23.5 | Under |
| Rice | 42–0 | −26.5 | Cover | 28.5 | Over |
| Michigan State | 17–10 | −17 | No cover | 27 | Push |
| at Purdue | 35–0 | −16 | Cover | 30 | Over |
| at North Carolina | 21–14 | −12.5 | No cover | 24 | Over |
| Stanford | 37–0 | −24 | Cover | 29 | Over |
| at BYU | 10–21 | −6 | No cover | 24.5 | Over |
Estimated lines are not archived sportsbook prices. Source and method: first-half game log ↗.
October 31 / Navy
For and against counts compare 2026 scores with Saturday's posted lines. Seven games per team.
| Period / team | Saturday line and prices | Scored: over / under | Opponent allowed: over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half · Notre Dame | 23.5 · O −130 / U +100 | ND 3 / 4 | Navy 2 / 5 |
| 1st half · Navy | 6.5 · O −140 / U +110 | Navy 6 / 1 | ND 4 / 3 |
| Full game · Notre Dame | 42.5 · O −110 / U −120 | ND 3 / 4 | Navy 1 / 6 |
| Full game · Navy | 13.5 · O −110 / U −120 | Navy 6 / 1 | ND 2 / 5 |
O/U counts use Saturday's lines as fixed thresholds, not each game's historical team-total line. Odds: EV Analytics ↗. Scores: Notre Dame ↗ · Navy ↗ · Navy–North Texas ↗.
| Opponent | 1H for–against | Game for–against |
|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 13–10 | 41–13 |
| Rice | 42–0 | 52–0 |
| Michigan State | 17–10 | 27–10 |
| Purdue | 35–0 | 49–10 |
| North Carolina | 21–14 | 37–26 |
| Stanford | 37–0 | 58–7 |
| BYU | 10–21 | 24–28 |
| Opponent | 1H for–against | Game for–against |
|---|---|---|
| Towson | 28–12 | 42–15 |
| Florida Atlantic | 7–31 | 30–38 |
| UAB | 13–17 | 20–24 |
| Air Force | 3–14 | 9–14 |
| Tulsa | 14–20 | 34–26 |
| UTSA | 20–21 | 34–38 |
| North Texas | 17–28 | 39–49 |
Saturday, October 31
Dated lines · check current prices before a decision
Notre Dame can win and Navy can still cover. Navy +30.5 covers if Navy wins or loses by 30 points or fewer.
The model evidence is mixed and the estimated edge is small. Pass if +30.5 at −105 or better is unavailable. Recheck team availability and the live line before kickoff.
The baseline is less than one point from the listed line. The two season samples do not give a clear side at 56.
Counterpoint: Navy's run-heavy offense could shorten the game, while Notre Dame has scored at least 49 in three of its seven games.
No full-game total recommendation at the listed line.
Five of seven first halves for each team finished above 30.5 points. The simple baseline is 3.4 points above the listed line.
Counterpoint: Notre Dame allows 67.3 rushing yards per game against a Navy offense built around the run.
Only consider 30.5 or lower at −110 or better after confirming the current line.
The simple baseline averages each team's points scored with its opponent's points allowed, then adds the two results. Counts compare each 2026 score with this matchup's fixed line; they are not historical betting results. Scores and halftime scores: game log · first-half log · team score detail. Lines: full game ↗ and first half ↗, checked October 26. This baseline has not been backtested; the lean is conditional, not measured positive expected value.
Before kickoff
The listed price may change.
Navy averages 53.9 rushing attempts per game. Estimate possessions before using the game spread or total.
Recheck the spread, game total, first-half markets, and team totals. The lines above were captured October 26.
Confirm starters, injuries, and weather.
Past results are descriptive. The suggested wager is a low-confidence lean, not a claim of positive expected value.